According to IDC’s latest report, the smart phone market will continue to slump in 2018, and it will be possible to restore vitality in 2019, and then rely on 5G to welcome a small outbreak again.
In 2016, global smartphone shipments reached 1.469 billion units, which fell by 0.3% in 2017 to 1.465 billion units. The main reason was that the Chinese market was underpowered and fell by 4.9%. In 2018, China's smart phone market will once again fall 7.1%, the global market will also shrink by 0.2% to 1.462 billion, but the market potential of India is gradually released, it will rise by 14% this year and 16% next year.
IDC expects that the global smart phone market will grow by about 3% next year, and it will maintain a compound annual growth rate of 2.5% by 2022, eventually reaching 1.654 billion units. The first commercial 5G mobile phone will be born in the second half of 2019. The scale of 5G mobile phones in 2020 will reach 212 million quickly, occupying a global share of 7%, and will increase to 18% by 2022.
For mobile phone manufacturers, one good news or one challenge is that the average price of mobile phones will continue to rise. In 2017, it will be 313 US dollars. In 2018, it will increase by 10.3% to 345 US dollars. In 2022, it will further reach 362 US dollars. The growth rate was 2.9%.
As for the system, the share of Android phones will basically stabilize at 85%, with a compound annual growth rate of 2.5% for shipments and 1.14 billion units for 2022. The iPhone grew by 2.6% to reach 221 million in 2018 and is expected to reach 242 million by 2022, with a compound annual growth rate of 2.4%.